Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.157906 0.187926 0.221656 0.262298 0.309874 0.363738 0.429278
2025-05-18 0.108226 0.144890 0.190723 0.251967 0.331371 0.430524 0.563380
2025-05-25 0.079853 0.116884 0.167048 0.239447 0.340645 0.476356 0.671278
2025-06-01 0.065978 0.103925 0.158818 0.243147 0.368360 0.546089 0.815779
2025-06-08 0.052931 0.089083 0.144554 0.234653 0.375779 0.586349 0.921580
2025-06-15 0.046081 0.082215 0.140601 0.240151 0.403472 0.657854 1.079821
2025-06-22 0.039881 0.075145 0.134934 0.241566 0.424122 0.719867 1.229160
2025-06-29 0.034069 0.067629 0.127194 0.238044 0.435584 0.767604 1.359669
2025-07-06 0.029359 0.061236 0.120320 0.234767 0.446523 0.814862 1.493318
2025-07-13 0.027067 0.059033 0.120630 0.244295 0.480882 0.905111 1.709181
2025-07-20 0.026081 0.059246 0.125454 0.262755 0.533463 1.032307 2.002311
2025-07-27 0.024087 0.057011 0.125118 0.271022 0.567470 1.128779 2.248299
2025-08-03 0.021026 0.052129 0.119095 0.267872 0.580467 1.190468 2.441786
2025-08-10 0.017805 0.046316 0.110287 0.257823 0.578623 1.224157 2.586677
2025-08-17 0.014904 0.040672 0.100909 0.245065 0.569281 1.241628 2.700858
2025-08-24 0.013533 0.038527 0.099105 0.248849 0.595708 1.334093 2.975844
2025-08-31 0.011604 0.034555 0.092346 0.240168 0.593331 1.366005 3.127842
2025-09-07 0.010707 0.033170 0.091658 0.245788 0.624058 1.471532 3.446453
2025-09-14 0.009704 0.031288 0.089411 0.247234 0.645121 1.557865 3.731414
2025-09-21 0.008598 0.028881 0.085408 0.243634 0.653543 1.616566 3.960338
2025-09-28 0.007642 0.026720 0.081714 0.240285 0.662109 1.676315 4.197205
2025-10-05 0.007269 0.026317 0.082838 0.250023 0.704962 1.820611 4.643861
2025-10-12 0.007221 0.026962 0.087065 0.268889 0.773637 2.033078 5.270707